Market Noise

Noise is unwanted sound. For investors it is those pieces of data, stories, or even price moves, which may seem like information but actually tell us nothing about the future returns of an asset. Trading on noise can be hazardous to your wealth.

In Market Noise we hope to identify examples of noise which may be prevalent in an era of exponentially growing data and obsession with the short term. Why? To try not to fall victim to noise in our own decision making. Because human beings love stories noise can be highly seductive. We must always be on our guard and looking for examples of noise is just one step towards doing this.

Midwinter motivations: “Santa Claus rallies”, Calendar year returns, and the “January effect”

Behavioural Finance Investment Industry Markets

Could it be that professional investors are chasing year end equity returns to flatter calendar year performance? And does this set us up for a weaker January as those same investors unwind positions they might not really believe in?

As equity markets have continued to rally there has been a… Read the article

EU Referendum Countdown

Markets have recently experienced some heightened volatility, which at times has been explained by commentators as being due to the changing expectations around the outcome of the UK referendum.  Last week, equity markets globally experienced losses, while ‘safe haven’ assets, such as G7 government bond markets, rallied. The biggest currency… Read the article