One of the most common clichés of the last couple of years is the idea that we have been in ‘the most hated bull market in history.” Today attitudes are shifting.
Here’s a short video I recorded with my multi-asset colleagues Steven Andrew and Tristan Hanson, in which we debate the highlights of 2017 and look ahead to 2018. After a year that has turned out to hold fewer surprises than many might have expected, what lies in store for financial… Watch the video
One should probably be wary of writing yet another article on Bitcoin. If the number of press articles and blog posts was an indicator of bubbles, then there would be little debate. Aside from the fact that it is now the middle of winter, Bitcoin would certainly satisfy all the… Read the article
As we have mentioned repeatedly on this blog, the change in market mood since the pivotal moment in the middle of 2016 has been staggering.
The flattening of the US yield curve has inspired much commentary and hand-wringing in certain quarters lately. The concern is overdone.
Looking back at periods of rising US policy rates over the past 30 years, history would suggest there is nothing remarkable about today’s level of long-dated bond yields relative… Read the article
Last week, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe called a snap election trying to capitalise on increased public support over the summer, as the North Korea issues intensified. If the election result was to grant him a larger majority, it will enable him more room to proceed with his economic plan.… Read the article
Equity markets generally delivered strong returns
The MSCI All Country World delivered 5.1% in Q3, with most major markets providing positive returns:
A lot of time collectively is spent monitoring and analysing data on investment fund flows. Is this time well spent?
The assumptions typically made are that fund flows data indicate which assets are ‘popular’ and in the absence of significant change, continued flows might suggest underlying momentum for an asset… Read the article
US ten year Treasuries have delivered a zero real return to investors over the last five years, while the US equity market has increased by 87%.
This should not be a surprise. It makes sense for investors to pay up for lower volatility (even if this relationship does… Read the article